We stay dry again today with cloud cover increasing later today. This will lead to a front intruding the Ohio Valley, bringing scattered showers the tomorrow evening and overnight. A low will develop to our southwest, bringing a cold front through on Sunday. This will provide widespread moderate to heavy showers Saturday, before cooling off and drying out on Sunday. Highs will remain in the 60s through Saturday, before finding their way back around 50 on Sunday. Temperature outlooks for the end of the month don't look promising for you "white Christmas" lovers. Unfortunately, our trend of warmer than normal temperatures looks to continue. That will do it for today, be sure to follow us on Twitter & Facebook if you don't already and have a great day! Pre-recorded for 5pm show
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Highlights for today will mainly be the temperatures. Highs will continue to warm thanks to high pressure, with temps topping out around 60 degrees. Moving forward, temperatures will continue to warm with showers arriving Thursday. These will mainly come toward the evening and into the overnight, followed by scattered activity Friday, then more widespread into Saturday. Temperatures will be VERY warm for this time of the year. We will continue to warm through Saturday, with highs to start the weekend upwards of 30 degrees warmer than average. Looking at the graphic below, this compares average temperatures to those of climatological norms. Some locations across Western and Middle TN/KY will be 25 to nearly 30 degrees above normals. A stout cold front will arrive with this system, bringing much cooler air in for Sunday. For reference, the record high Saturday the 18th is 73 degrees (Knoxville). Though I don't think this will be broken, highs could run close to the 70 mark for parts of the Central Valley. Looking at 48-hour rainfall totals, moderate to heavy rainfall will set up this weekend. A stalled boundary will set up to our north and west, working very slowly south and east toward early next week. As it does so, upwards of 2 inches will be possible with locally higher amounts not out of the question. This could pose a hydro threat and flash flooding concerns. We will continue to eye the possibility as we work closer to the weekend and early next week. Pleasant conditions will persist into Wednesday before cloud cover increases and leads to showers later Thursday. Enjoy the increasing temperatures through the next several days. Pre-recorded for 5pm show
Starting off the new work week with a recap of the weekend. As I am sure many of you have heard, severe storms crippled much of the Mid Mississippi and Ohio Valley this weekend. Storm reports from Friday show a slew of tornadoes, wind reports, and even areas of hail. Many locations, especially through Western Kentucky were hit the hardest with storm damage of EF-3 caliber. Some were long tracked tornadoes, traveling from Arkansas all the way through Kentucky. The second image below highlights Saturdays storm reports, mainly consisting of damaging winds across East Tennessee and up through the Northeast. After a very active weekend for the region, we finally calm back down and again warm up. Average highs for this time of the year are in the upper 40s and low 50s, yet we'll again see highs in the 60s starting tomorrow and through at least the early weekend. High pressure will lock in warm and dry air today, tomorrow, and parts of Wednesday, before a round of rain arrives for parts of Thursday, Friday, and this weekend. This will then be followed with much cooler air toward Sunday and early next week. That will do it for today, take advantage of these beautiful conditions. Lots of sunshine will be in store today and tomorrow. Highs will warm to be near 60 Tuesday before warming into the mid 60s mid week. Pre-recorded for 5pm show
Good Friday morning to all! All eyes are on a line of showers and storms expected to develop tomorrow morning. The SPC has highlighted a "Marginal" risk for the area. The biggest hazard will be damaging wind gusts/straight line winds, but also an isolated area or two of spin up can't be entirely ruled out. Breezy conditions can be expected regardless with gusts upwards of 25 mph for valley locations. These will be a bit stronger the higher in elevation you go. Timing will generally be mid morning for the initial line, but lighter showers will continue into as late as the early evening. In addition to the severe threat, a threat of flash flooding is also possible. Heavy rain rates within a short amount of time could lead to some localized flash flooding and water rises. The WPC has highlighted a Marginal risk for this across nearly all of East Tennessee. Looking at overall rain totals, numbers remain relatively the same. Upwards of an inch of rainfall can be expected with locally higher amounts in thunderstorms and training locations. This should exit by Saturday evening, leaving cold and drier air to filter in through Sunday. Highs drop back into the upper 40s/low 50s to end the weekend, and then warm through early next week. Have a way to receive alerts....the severe threat is low but possible. Especially with the warm air, very wet environment (climatically), and strength of the front working through, winds could pose an issue. Have a good one, safe one, and don't forget to follow us on Twitter/Facebook for updates and information releases. Pre-recorded for 5pm show
Good morning! We should be fairly peaceful today with a mix of sunshine and cloud cover along with increased temperatures. Highs today should top out in the mid and upper 50s. Working into Friday and Saturday, a stout cold front will meander across the Volunteer State. This will bring an increased chance for severe weather, particularly to our west. Looking below, the SPC has issued an enhanced risk for portions of Western TN/KY. A marginal risk is in place for East TN with the biggest threat being damaging winds. Isolated brief tornadoes can't be entirely ruled out either. In addition to the severe threat, there is also a Marginal risk for flash flooding. The good news as it relates to water hazards, is that this is a quick moving system. This means heavy rain associated with the system in a short amount of time. Be weary and prepare now if you are in low-lying areas and/or near commonly flooded water bodies. Looking through the play-by-play, isolated to scattered showers will arrive overnight and through Friday. By Saturday, a line of showers and embedded thunderstorms will progress eastward across the area. Again, the most concerning hazard is damaging wind gusts and straight line winds. A few embedded areas of spin up can't be ruled out in addition to heavy rainfall rates. This will pass through primarily in the morning to early afternoon, before clearing out and cooling off Saturday night. We will continue to watch for our next system, as it could provide some brief severe weather and localized flash flooding. Stay up to date by following us on Twitter/ Facebook (@SecretCityWx) Pre-recorded for 5pm show
Cloud cover is hanging around this morning but clearing is quickly on the way. Looking at the latest satellite image, Western TN is clear with only a few high clouds across Western Kentucky. Once we clear out, skies will be partly sunny through the afternoon before cloud cover again increases for tonight. Highs today near average in the low to mid 50s. Moving forward, we continue to eye the chance for heavy rains and strong showers/thunderstorms. It is not too often we have storms during the cold season, but we will have another chance this weekend. A strong low and cold front will swing eastward, providing heavy rainfall and a few strong storms. Rainfall totals could be as high as an inch and a half with locally higher amounts possible. The WPC has highlighted a Marginal Risk for flash flooding Friday morning into Saturday, but this hangs just out of our area to the west. I expect them to include us for the Day 3 outlook tomorrow. That will do it for today...generally, temperatures will warm over the next couple of days before being followed by a strong cold front. Highs will warm to the mid and upper 60s by Saturday. Pre-recorded for 5pm show
A chilly morning across East Tennessee as a cold front passed through yesterday. As a result, we are upwards of 30 degrees cooler this morning than this time yesterday. A change in air mass will provide much warmer air over the next several days. Something we have our eyes on comes this weekend and the potential for strong to severe storms. Early indications suggest gusty to damaging winds and heavy rainfall are the largest concerns, but there remains uncertainties within timing and strength. We'll continue to keep a close eye on this and let you know more ahead. For now, this looks to be a mainly Saturday event with rainfall both Friday and Saturday. The graphic below only highlights Saturday rainfall, meaning some locations could see upwards of 2+ inches in just 24-hours. Lastly, wanted to touch on the drought for the state of Tennessee. With the drier than normal conditions for November and continuation into December, abnormally dry conditions have spawned up across portions of the state. Luckily with the rainfall we saw yesterday and the additional rounds expected, especially at the end of the week, expect this to lesson over the next couple of weeks. That will do it for today, other than a brief shower/sprinkle overnight and into early Wednesday, most should stay dry. Highs will continue to warm, topping out in the lower 50s tomorrow and mid to upper 50s Thursday. Pre-recorded for 5pm show
Good morning! Things are fairly quiet around East Tennessee, but off to our west showers and a few storms are churning. As you can see below, a stout cold front is making its way east, bringing much cooler air for your Tuesday. Highs tomorrow for most to top out in the low and mid 40s with a few upper 40s along southern East Tennessee. The SPC has highlighted a Marginal risk for portions of the Plateau today. The main threat will be damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph. With that said, it will be a breezy day today. Gusts up to 30 mph will be possible at times through the day, so secure any loose outdoor objects. Rain & a few embedded storms (possible) will arrive mid morning 9-11am and work eastward with time. We should return to partly cloudy skies tonight, clearing for the day tomorrow. Breaking down guidance, once the line passes today, high pressure briefly settles in to our north. This will set up a dry and cool Tuesday before additional rain chances arrive mid and late week. These next rounds will be fairly hit or miss with only isolated to scattered showers expected Wednesday and again Friday. Highs will warm Wednesday and onward, with near 70 possible on Friday. That will do it for today. Be sure to bring in any outdoor loose object, things will be breezy the greater part of the day. Pre-recorded for 5pm show
Sunny skies have started our day off along with mild temperatures. Through the day, things will warm to be well above average. In fact, most locations will be 15 to 20 degrees warmer than our usual norms. Temperatures this afternoon should top out in the upper 60s to low 70s. After a quiet and warm stretch of days, a few disturbances look to bring showers and cooler temperatures. Cloud cover will increase tonight, bringing at best a few isolated showers to sprinkles Saturday. This will be followed by increasing shower chances Sunday, with the best opportunity overnight and into early Monday. Showers will diminish into Tuesday, bringing temperatures closer to average for this time of the year. The next 7 days should be pretty wet. The WPC is suggesting rain totals up to 2.5 inches through next Friday. This comes in the wake of a several day dry stent and ending the month of November below average for precipitation. Unfortunately for you snow lovers, it'll be some time before we see a chance at those flakes. Take advantage of the warm temperatures today. Cloud cover will increase overnight tonight, but most should stay on the dry side until at least Sunday evening. Pre-recorded for 5pm show
Though we aren't impacted much by Tropical weather, the hurricane season has officially come to a close (as of December 1st). NOAA used all the names below and more with 21 total named storms this season. There were in total 4 major hurricanes (category 3 or higher with 111 mph winds). Jumping back into something a bit more relative, check out the temperature changes over the past 24 hours. Some locations as high as 25 degrees warmer (Eastern KY & north). Even across portions of TN we are seeing 10-20 degrees of a swing. This is due to the strong southerly flow we will continue to see through the day today. As a result, it could be breezy at times with gusts up to 20mph. Temperatures will also be warm, with highs to be in the mid and upper 60s. Some locations could even reach 70 today and tomorrow. With high pressure to the south, things remain dry the next couple of days. A disturbance could bring isolated showers Saturday and Sunday before a better opportunity arrives overnight Sunday and into early Monday. These should diminish by Monday morning, allowing for gradually clearing skies and a dip into cooler (but average) air. Take advantage of the "heat" as highs are 15-20 degrees above average for this time of the year. Sunshine will also make things feel a bit warmer, so get out and about if you can. Pre-recorded for 5pm show
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