Good morning! A very warm and muggy week is ahead as strong high pressure is centered over the region. Looking into feel like temperatures this afternoon through Thursday, they will peak each day between 100 and 110. I would not be surprised if the NWS in Morristown issues a heat advisory tomorrow or even Wednesday. Overall, the main threat will be the heat but a very isolated shower/storm can't be entirely ruled out during the afternoon and early evening each day. If storms were to develop they could be strong. With the threat of very warm temperatures and heat indices well over 100, heat safety should be a top priority this week. Be sure to limit your outdoor time, find plenty of air conditioning, drink lots of water, and of course keep the sunscreen close by. Here are a few practices to keep in mind: MUCH needed relief will make a return this weekend, as a cold front crosses the area Friday and brings some rainfall and cooler temperatures. Highs Saturday will range from the low to mid 80s, before the potential for very warm and muggy highs returns this time next week. For now, stay cool and enjoy that air conditioning! Be sure to watch our video forecast below for more information as well. Pre-recorded for 5pm
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Good Friday morning to you! Present temperatures (8 am) are in the upper 50s to mid 60s, with cloud cover quickly increasing. We wanted to start off highlighting the biggest threat over the next week and that'll be the temperatures. Taking a look below, values indicate how much warmer temperatures could be compared to the average. That means some areas could be anywhere between 10 and 15 degrees + above average through the first half of next week. In addition to temperatures, humidity values will also be high. This means heat indices of over 100 can be expected. Keep your heat safety in mind as the warmest temperatures so far this year will find us Monday-Wednesday. Falling in line with the Summer-like conditions, the UV index is forecasted to be very high as well (10-11). If you plan to be outdoors for extended periods of time, keep the sunscreen, water, and shade close by! Jumping back into the shorter term, an upper level disturbance will bring isolated to scattered showers & storms later this afternoon and into the night. This should pass fairly quickly, as drier conditions make a return Saturday afternoon/evening. High pressure then fills in Sunday, bringing the aforementioned heat and humidity Sunday and early next week. Lastly, the latest drought map has been released. Given the widespread rainfall we saw last week, there has been many improvements. We will see if this takes a hit over the next week or two, as drier than normal conditions are in the plans. Temperatures today and tomorrow will be near average (upper 70s to low 80s), before warming to the upper 80s Sunday and low to upper 90s early to mid week. Check out our video forecast below for more. Pre-recorded for 5pm show
High pressure will continue working in today, leading to mostly sunny skies and highs in the lower 80s. This will be fairly short lived though, as showers and isolated storms build back in tomorrow evening and early Saturday morning. Keep in mind though, showers will be sparse over the next 7 days. Looking below, forecasted rainfall amounts will be in the 0.25-0.5" range, with the bulk of this coming Friday evening to Saturday morning. The next chance won't arrive until mid week next week. Cloud cover and any linger showers will clear up by Saturday evening, with high pressure nosing in late weekend and early next week. As it does so, very warm temperatures (potentially the warmest of the year so far) will arrive. Highs will range from the low to mid 90s for most by Tuesday. With mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies in place above, very high UV indices will be across East Tennessee. Keep the sunscreen and water close by as we get into next week. That will wrap it up for today....take advantage of the beautiful conditions today and the first half of the day tomorrow! Highs for both days will be in the upper 70s to low 80s. Pre-recorded for 5pm show
On a rare but not impossible change, the SPC has back tracked their outlook. The Storm Prediction Center bumped the area up to a slight last night, before downgrading us this morning. As we mentioned yesterday, we feel the risk for severe weather is low but not ruled out. With that said, scattered showers and storms will develop later this afternoon and evening, a couple of which could become severe. The main threat will be damaging wind gusts, but hail is also possible. As for the time being, pretty quiet across the area. A developing isolated cell is west of Wartburg, while showers across Gatlinburg. As a cold front drifts east this afternoon, activity will pick up. Scattered widespread showers/storms will find us. It is very possible not everyone sees rainfall today given the set up. Guidance depicts the showers and storms towards this evening and into the overnight, before tapering off early Thursday. High pressure will then meander in from the west, bringing drier conditions Thursday and a large part of Friday. A nearby disturbance will bring isolated to scattered shower/storm chances Friday and Saturday afternoon, otherwise drier and warming conditions return Sunday and early next week. Though the severe weather threat is low, its not entirely ruled out. A few isolated rogue strong to severe cells will be possible, before showers finish us out overnight. For now get out and enjoy the calm conditions, before activity picks up a bit later this afternoon and into the evening. Pre-recorded for 5pm show
Though the severe risk (both today and tomorrow) is low, it is not entirely ruled out. Given the aid of daytime heating and the frontal boundary, a few strong to severe storms will be possible during the afternoon to early evening today and tomorrow. The primary threat will be damaging wind gusts but large hail is possible as well. Looking at model guidance, rounds of showers and storms are in store ahead. We saw a large swath of showers this morning that are slowly working their way out. This will set the chance for isolated to scattered showers later this afternoon and evening. Showers and storms then return at times throughout tomorrow, with the best opportunity the second half of the day. Activity will then dwindle out tomorrow night and early Thursday, where partly cloudy skies return for the afternoon. After a soaking several days expected this week, we flip sides. Not only will we warm back up, but drier conditions are also forecast. Looking at the CPC outlook below, warmer than normal conditions as well as a strong signature for drier than normal conditions are planned for next week. With the frontal boundary wavering across the area, showers and storms will develop at times this afternoon and evening. Showers and storms then return, with the best opportunity tomorrow afternoon and evening. Drier conditions, briefly, return Thursday and parts of Friday, before another round into the weekend. We will also cool off, with highs Friday and Saturday for most in the 70s. Pre-recorded for 5pm show
Its official, the first named storm of the new hurricane season has been announced. Tropical Storm Alex is now working northeast of Bermuda and will weaken with its movement. This name comes only 5 days into the hurricane season, with expectations of an above normal year (and clearly rightfully so). Turning our attention back to East Tennessee, a soaking rain is in store this week. A slow moving frontal boundary will cross the area, bringing rounds of showers and storms starting late tonight and continuing throughout Tuesday and Wednesday. Though showers/storms won't be consistent but instead in waves throughout the day (Tuesday and Wednesday), some will be strong and widespread enough to pose a flash flooding risk. The WPC has highlighted this below for both tomorrow and Wednesday. Rainfall amounts in general will range between 1 and 2 inches, with higher amounts the further west one goes. With that said, locally higher amounts are likely here as well, especially in stronger thunderstorms and in areas that see repeated activity. Have a way to receive watches and/or warnings and know what to do if they are issued. The primary threat will be flooding, but a few isolated strong to severe storms can't be ruled out Tuesday and Wednesday afternoon. We finish of our string of dry days today, with showers and storms arriving tonight and throughout Tuesday and Wednesday. As far as highs today, we will top out in the low and mid 80s and continue that in the days ahead. This is near average for this time of the year. Don't forget to give us a follow on Twitter/Facebook as well as view our video forecast below. Pre-recorded for 5pm show
Hurricane season has returned and just in time too. A couple areas of focus are across the Tropics, with one likely getting a name soon (Alex). This area of concern was actually already a hurricane in the Pacific (named Agatha), but because it is in the Atlantic now, the name would change to Alex (assuming it continues strengthening). This system, currently off the coast of Mexico, will work northeastward crossing Southern Florida and dumping heavy rainfall (upwards of a foot or more). With the cold front now east, high pressure will fill in bringing cooler temperatures today as well as mostly sunny skies this afternoon. This will continue into Saturday as well, before isolated to scattered showers return Sunday and into early next week. These will primarily come during the afternoon to early evening hours, before dissipating overnight. Highs will also warm up into early next week, returning to the mid and upper 80s. If you recall last week, conditions were much worse in terms of drought. Widespread abnormally dry conditions as well as a patch of moderate drought were seen across the state. With the heavy and widespread rainfall we picked up, this helped recoup most locations. Even still, abnormally dry conditions remain. Rainfall will be scattered late weekend and early next week, so we will see how things turn out ahead because of that. A beautiful day is ahead and similar conditions will be in for Saturday as well. Highs will range from the upper 70s to low 80s with overnight lows in the 50s and 60s. Take advantage and have a wonderful weekend! Pre-recorded for 5pm show
Cloud cover will be on the increase today, as a cold front approaches and passes through the area. As it does so, scattered showers and storms will develop this afternoon and evening. Not everyone will see rainfall with this, so amounts will be fairly low as a whole. With that said, a few of these storms could be strong to marginally severe, with damaging wind gusts the main threat. By tomorrow, showers will have worked out and clearing skies will be in to end the work week. Highs will be much cooler, with most topping out in the upper 70s. A gradual warm up can be expected through the weekend, before showers and storms return Sunday and into early next week. Overall, rainfall amounts will be minimal, less than half an inch for most through Monday. With abnormally dry conditions still present across Tennessee, we will need to see how things play out ahead. Minimal rainfall amounts and warm afternoon temperatures will likely allow for these spots to become more widespread over the coming days and weeks. For now, keep the umbrella handy incase showers impact you today, with drier and cooler conditions planned for Friday. Pre-recorded for 5pm show
Strong to severe storms will be possible tomorrow afternoon to early evening, with damaging wind gusts and large hail possible. Activity will dwindle overnight, with partly cloudy skies and cooler temperatures returning Friday and the early weekend. Have a way to receive alerts if warnings were to be issued tomorrow. The risk is low but not ruled out. Check out our video forecast below for more. |
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