After a fairly dry month of March, the saying "April showers bring May flowers" has been true. Rainfall for the month with look to grow another 1-3 inches over the next 7 days. There will be two main systems, one arrives late tonight and into Saturday and the other Sunday night and into Monday. Both could bring isolated instances of thunder, but no severe weather is to be expected. Looking through the weekend, showers and a few storms arrive tonight and carry into Saturday before drying out towards the middle of the afternoon. Another system and associated cold front will then press through Sunday night and into Monday. This looks to be the better opportunity for rainfall, before drier conditions prevail Monday evening and through midweek. Longer term outlooks anticipate near seasonable norms for temperature while below seasonable norms for rainfall (not shown) are suggested. With a few inches expected over the next week, this should help offset drier conditions the later part of the month. That will do it for today...as always, thank you for checking out your local weather source and don't forget to give us a follow or even a shout out on social media. Our Twitter and Facebook is @SecretCityWx Pre-recorded for 5pm show
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Highlights: - High pressure fills in late, clearing things out this afternoon and keeping us dry through the day Friday. -A disturbance brings isolated showers back late Friday night and at times during the weekend. -Our best shot of rain comes overnight Sunday and into Monday, before drier weather again finds us Tuesday and towards mid week. -Temperatures generally at to below average through the period, with the exception of Friday with highs in the mid 70s and for some around 80 degrees. Pre-recorded for 5pm show
A warm start to the day as a warm front is building north this afternoon. This will boost afternoon highs in the upper 70s to low 80s with a breezy south to southwest wind of 5-15 mph. Other than a few isolated spotty showers today, a majority of the day will stay dry and mostly cloudy. Looking at this afternoon, strong and severe storms are expected to develop across West Tennessee, Kentucky, and down through Northern Louisiana. As for us, a Marginal risk is in place as storms quickly weaken with the eastward shift. Even so, strong to damaging wind gusts will be the primarily threat, mainly impacting the Plateau. Breaking this down, you can see how quickly this line of convection weakens and breaks down. As it gets across the Plateau, it nearly fizzles out with mainly showers expected. If this system does progress a few hours sooner, we could be in for stronger storms. For now, timing of this line comes between midnight and 4am, with the plateau likely seeing the strongest of these storms. As for rainfall, between a quarter and three-quarters of an inch can be expected. Showers could linger into tomorrow morning, before partly cloudy skies return later tomorrow afternoon and through Friday. Spotty showers then arrive back throughout the weekend. Though this system is expected to weaken eastward, the severe threat is not entirely ruled out. With timing overnight, have a way to receive alerts if they are issued. Again, confidence is low in severe storms, but not 0, with damaging wind gusts the main threat. Have a good one and enjoy some much needed sunshine by late afternoon tomorrow and throughout Friday. Pre-recorded for 5pm show
Showers and a few rumbles of thunder start out the day, but will diminish over the next few hours. This will set up for a mostly cloudy day with highs in the low to mid 70s. With a frontal boundary lifting north as a warm front tomorrow, a cold front will eventually swing in from the west. This will be the focus for a line of showers and thunderstorms (some strong to severe) to work in late Wednesday. Looking at the Day 2 severe threat, the SPC highlights a Slight risk for portions of the Plateau, while a Marginal is in place for the remainder of East Tennessee. The good news is this line will weaken with the eastward shift. This doesn't mean strong to marginally severe storms are completely ruled out, just the opportunity for stronger storms is not great. Nonetheless, have a way to receive alerts if warnings are issued. This is tricky, as activity does come during the night while many are asleep. The biggest threat will be damaging winds gusts but an isolated area of spin up can't be ruled out. As far as rain, the heaviest bands will set up west. East Tennessee can anticipate between half an inch in the far east to upwards of an inch and a quarter in the Plateau through Thursday morning. Activity should move out by mid morning Thursday, with sunshine slowing working back in for Friday. Unfortunately, this does not last long as spotty showers and cloud cover make a return Saturday. That will do it for today. The big take away is having an umbrella close by the next several days. With a few spotty showers today, showers and storms late tomorrow and into Thursday morning, and again this weekend, it would be a good idea! Temperatures will also be warm, with highs tomorrow in the 70s and 80s, and continuing to stay in the 70s through the end of the week. Pre-recorded for 5pm show
Showers and isolated storms find us this afternoon and into the overnight. Most should move out by mid morning Tuesday, with cloudy skies persisting through the remainder of the day and into Wednesday. A strong low and associated cold front will then bring strong to sever storms late Wednesday and into early Thursday morning. Temperatures through the week will be mild, generally ranging from the upper 60s and into the 70s. A cold low is churning well to our north with an upper level disturbance passing through the area. This will provide renewed showers today, with increasing chances this afternoon and evening. A changeover to rain/snow mix can't be ruled out overnight either. Temperatures today will be chilly, ranging from the upper 40s to mid 50s. Cooler temps continue into Saturday as well, with highs in the upper 40s and low 50s. Looking at guidance, scattered showers will become more widespread this afternoon with a few thunderstorms possible. Transitioning overnight, temperatures will cool and and a change over to rain/snow mix will be possible. No impacts are expected across the majority of East Tennessee, but the same can't be said for the higher elevations. Locations 2500 feet and above will see the opportunity for accumulating snow overnight and into Saturday. Those that hike, camp, or may be in the Smokies, plan ahead and don't be surprised to see some snowfall. Other than showers today and into early Saturday, our next round doesn't arrive until mid week. Early analysis suggests heavy rainfall will be possible, but where this band sets up will be in question. For now, the WPC suggests this to be a bit further southwest, but changes are likely and a slight trend more eastward has been seen. We'll keep a close eye on this but for now, brace for a cold rain and below average temperatures through tomorrow. Forewarning, cover those plants tonight and tomorrow! Low temperatures in the upper 20s to low 30s could easily kill newly planted seeds and plants. A frost/freeze advisory or warning will likely be issued for tonight and/or tomorrow night. By Sunday, things will warm back up with sunshine again in the forecast.
Good morning! Much cooler as you walk out of the door today than compared to this time yesterday. With the passage of the cold front, most areas will only top out in the low to mid 60s today. This cooling trend will only continue through Friday and into Saturday as well. Looking at the break down for vegetation susceptibility, we are in the green. This means the growing season across the Tennessee Valley has kicked off and plants will be prone to freezing and frost conditions. With freezing temperatures on our radar, be sure to have a way to protect your "greens" Friday night and again Saturday night. With an upper level disturbance rolling in from our north, showers will once again return tomorrow afternoon and into Saturday. With temperatures falling to near freezing overnight Friday, some areas could see a few snowflakes fly. Yes, in early to mid April! No accumulations are expected across the valley, but it will be a not so common site to see a few flakes overnight Friday and into Saturday morning. Following, sunshine makes a return for Sunday, with temperatures rebounding into the 60s. That will wrap it up for today, the main takeaways are the cooler temperatures in the days ahead. Be sure to dress warm, cover those plants, and don't forget the umbrellas for scattered showers tomorrow afternoon and evening.
A cold front will take aim at the area today, and will be the focus for a thin line of isolated strong to severe storms. The SPC has upgraded the enhanced area to include most of East Tennessee, so know what to do if warnings are issued this afternoon. As far as timing, the threat timeframe will be between 4-8pm. Following this system, we'll dry out briefly Thursday before rain and even some mix returns Friday and Saturday. Cooler temperatures will also follow with highs tomorrow in the 60s, with low 50s by Saturday. The latest SPC outlook can be seen below, with categorical 3/5 in place. Damaging winds gusts are the main threat, but tornadoes and instances of large hail are possible too. The highest threat will be across the far southeast, but all will have potential. Have a way to receive watches/warnings and know your secure location if thunderstorm and/or tornado warnings are issues this afternoon/evening. Stay safe, give us a follow as we'll be tracking this this afternoon, and send reports if you are safe to do so. Once again timing will primarily come between that 4-8pm window.
Good morning! Warmer temperatures (when compared to this time yesterday) have moved in and will continue so into tomorrow. Highs this afternoon should top out in the mid 60s under cloudy skies and widespread rain. A few thunderstorms will also be possible this afternoon with the threat of any severe weather primarily well to our south. Moving forward, the SPC has highlighted a Slight to Enhanced risk for severe storms tomorrow afternoon and evening. The biggest threat is across the far southeast, but all of the area has an opportunity for strong to severe storms. The biggest hazard associated will be damaging wind gusts, but tornadoes and large hail will also be possible. Other than widespread rain and a few thunderstorms today, the threat will come along a cold front later tomorrow. Looking at Hi-Res guidance, a thin line of showers will develop from the west. As daytime heating (some sunshine) allows for increased energy, strengthening will occur eastward and allow for strong to severe storms to develop. Though it may not look like much, this line could contain all weather hazards. Have a way to receive alerts and know what to do if warnings are issued the later half of the day tomorrow. We will have further updates tomorrow as far as exact timing, but for now anticipate the opportunity tomorrow afternoon and into the evening hours. For today, don't forget those umbrellas as we'll see showers throughout the afternoon and evening. Pre-recorded for 5pm show
Highlights for the week: Showers and isolated storms Tuesday, with increased awareness needed for Wednesday. Strong to severe storms will be possible during the afternoon to early evening (further updates/details to come Tuesday & Wednesday). Generally, a cooler trend then follows Thursday and Friday. |
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