Several systems are expected to bring rounds of showers over the next week, with number 1 arriving tonight. Cloudy skies have been in place through the day so far, with showers not too far behind. A few may feel a few sprinkles into this afternoon, with the bulk of showers not arriving until later this evening and overnight. Fortunately, these will taper off into the day tomorrow, allowing for generally cloudy skies tomorrow afternoon and through much of Wednesday. System number 2 then arrives Wednesday night through Thursday, before moving out overnight and into early Friday. Cooler and drier conditions will arrive to end the work week and into the weekend. System number 3 then finds the region later Sunday and into early the following week (a week out). There is a number of uncertainties regarding all 3 (in total), as these could pose some water/flooding concerns. For now, the better axis of rainfall will be to our north and west, but this could change moving forward. Check back in for the latest! We re looking at 1.5-2" over the next 7 days- something we should be able to handle fine assuming no thunderstorms or stalled boundaries across the area. Pre-recorded for 5pm weather broadcast
0 Comments
Here are the storm reports received across East Tennessee yesterday, where quite a bit of wind damage was reported. The NWS did issue two tornado warnings: one across South Knox and into Dandridge and the other just east of there. As of now, no reports of a tornado but there certainty was some interesting rotational couplets that posed concern on radar. Anyway, we've flipped scripts and dropped in temperatures where wintry precipitation is now in the forecast. Some have seen some light snow showers today, but those will become more widespread this afternoon. Highs today will stay fairly uniform, in the upper 30s to near 40 in the valley. Looking at where this airmass and moisture is coming from, a HYSPLIT run shows us just that. From the Great Lakes area, moisture will filter through in the form of snow. Pretty neat to see moisture fed by the Great Lakes across East Tennessee, right? This will be in the form of snow for many, where light accumulations are possible. Looking at our official snowfall map, snowfall accumulations will vary. Because the snow bands moving in from the northwest will be very streaky, some locations will have better potential than others depending on where those set up. Nonetheless, the highest elevations (where temps stay near to below freezing) will have the greatest chance. A winter weather advisory has been issued for the Plateau and Foothills, while a Winter Storm Warning is in place across the Smokies. Working through the weekend, high pressure returns. This will allow for drying and gradually warming temperatures. Highs will climb to around 50 by Sunday, before shower chances creep back in MLK day and into Tuesday. After a quick cool off today and tomorrow, highs return to the 60s by next week. Pre-recorded for 5pm weather broadcast
Good morning! As we have been watching and concerned about this week, severe storms are possible today. A slight risk has been introduced to the area, with an enhanced risk bordering our south. The timing for these storms will come early to mid afternoon (noon-5 pm), before things begin quieting down tonight. Be weather aware today. The biggest concern areas are across the southern valley bordering Tennessee, where these counties have the best chance of seeing severe storms and possibly a few tornadoes. Breaking it down, showers are already beginning to edge in from the west this morning. The cold front is currently aligned across the west, working east with time. This will bring showers and storms, some of which will be strong and severe working through over the next several hours. The primary threat will be damaging wind gusts, but a few tornadoes (particularly across the southern parts of the area) are also a concern. Hail, to a lesser extent, is also possible. This will transition to a snow mix overnight and through Friday, where a Winter Storm Warning is in effect for the Smokies. Elsewhere little to no accumulations expected across the valley, but a light (up to an inch) possible in the plateau, foothills, and bordering KY counties. Flow from the northwest will allow for moisture to work off the Great Lakes and feed right across the area in the form of snow through Friday and into Friday night. Drier air returns into the weekend, with moderating temperatures into Martin Luther King Day. I will emphasize the importance of our weather safety today. Know what to do, have, and where to go. This graphic below is an informative guide of things to have on hand if a severe thunderstorm or tornado warning is issued. Remember this as well: a watch means the environment is favorable for such while a warning means take immediate action. Stay safe and have a reliable source for alerts before, during, and after.
Cloud cover has returned and will remain as we work through Thursday. An area of low pressure currently resides across the Southern Plains and will build northeast tonight and through the day tomorrow. As it does so, a cold front running south will cross the Volunteer State through the day. In terms of locally, frontal passage will take place Thursday evening, allowing for cooler air to usher in just in time to end the work week. For the rest of today, cloud cover will remain with the chance for patchy drizzle/sprinkles and maybe a stray isolated shower. Most stay dry through this evening, with highs warming into the mid 50s. As the potent low and cold front drag east tonight, shower chances increase through the day tomorrow. With energy increasing, a few strong to severe storms are possible. The timeline for these will come early to mid afternoon, before showers diminish late in the day. The Storm Prediction Center's outlook did dip further north and also included now all of East Tennessee and nearly the whole state of Kentucky (with a Marginal). The primary threat will be strong to damaging wind gusts, but an isolated tornado or two can't be ruled out. Have a way to receive warnings if they were to be issued and know what to do if issued. The threat in general is low but not something that we can disregard. After the passage of the cold front, colder air will advect in Friday night. With lingering moisture, some of this will fall as snow. As we discussed yesterday snow accumulations will be little to none in the valley, but there's a better shot across the Plateau and obviously the Smokies. Looking below, this is the probability of seeing an inch or greater into Friday morning. As you can see the northern valley and foothills have a very low shot (5%) but one nonetheless. Given the current data and trends, here is our outlook pending some changes: Plateau: A few tenths, with the best chances across the highest peaks and in those areas further north. Valley: Possible a dusting on grassy elevated objects, mainly across counties bordering KY. Elsewhere just a rain/snow mix will be seen in the air. Foothills: Up to a few tenths (with isolated up to 1") for some, otherwise no accumulations expected. Smokies: Likely to see accumulations, with the best potential across the highest of peaks. 2-4"+ will be possible in these locations, with well over 8+ inches at the highest elevations. Be weather aware tomorrow! Have a way to receive warnings and have an action plan if they are issued from the National Weather Service. The threat for severe weather is low, but here we are in mid January discussing it (not very common). Have a good one, be safe, and don't forget to keep up with the latest on our Twitter and Facebook. Pre-recorded for 5pm weather broadcast
Good afternoon! Warmer temperatures have begun working their way back in across the region, but check out this neat phenomena. If you look closely across the East Tennessee Valley, you can see blue indicating temperatures cooler than yesterday and obviously cooler than the surrounding areas....why is that? Fog! It hampered us in early and has been slow to burn off late in the morning. Fortunately, we are seeing the last of it dissolve now, where warmer temps find the area. Highs today should top out in the low 50s for most. Towards mid week, an area of low pressure will be knocking on our door, where a cold front will slide through on Thursday. Clouds will increase late tonight and through Wednesday, leading to isolated shower chances Wednesday night into early Thursday. Widespread showers and a few storms are then expected during the day Thursday, where a few storms could be strong to severe (further discussion below). As the front sweeps through late in the day to early Friday, a change over to some snow is possible. "Up-slope" flow, as we like to call it, will allow for lingering isolated snow showers/flurries the later part of the day as well. Accumulation-wise we look to keep things in tact from yesterday, where the likely locations are across the higher terrain of the Smokies, and light accumulations aren't ruled out across the Plateau. Elsewhere a light coating to nothing is more than likely as of now. We will have more details surrounding the entire system (both severe, rainfall, and wintry precipitation) tomorrow. Here is the outlook for Thursday, showing a slight across the far southern valley and SE, while a Marginal covers much of the rest of the area. Though we are far out for some of the higher resolution data, some indicate there may be a shift further north, so we will keep an eye on if the SPC changes this up some in future outlook releases. Nonetheless, there's the potential for isolated severe weather, so be weather aware into Thursday. The main threat will be damaging wind gusts but isolated areas of spin up can't be ruled out. We will remain dry and above average today and much of tomorrow, before showers and a few storms arrive Thursday. Be sure to check back in tomorrow for the latest forecast, as we will have a better idea on timing, amounts, and potential impacts. Have a good one! Pre-recorded for 5pm weather broadcast
Low clouds have socked us in early, but are slowly diminishing across the area. These images are as of 12:40 PM, showing the extent of the coverage. Just be patient as sunnier skies are on the way and most will need the sunglasses later this afternoon. As for highs, expect things to warm up a few more degrees, in the upper 40s to around 50. The good news as we head towards mid week are the dry and warming conditions expected. Highs will climb into the low and mid 50s tomorrow, with mid and upper 50s Wednesday. That said, cloud cover returns Wednesday with showers not far behind Wednesday night and throughout Thursday. A potent low pressure system and trailing cold front will bring widespread showers and a few thunderstorms to the area Thursday, with some seeing a transition to snow by the night and into Friday. Not to give your hopes up snow lovers, but this will not be the best set up for accumulations at least across the valley. That said, others could have the chance, with the highest probability in the Smokies. Thereafter, drier and cooler conditions return this weekend. As far as the snowfall outlook, the highest elevations of the Smokies are more than likely to see accumulations. This is depicted below through evaluating the probability of exceeding a quarter of an inch in liquid amount from snow/sleet. Several inches will be possible for the highest peak Thursday night into Friday, with some lingering activity into the early weekend. For valley locations its our typical struggle, cold front passes and the colder air lags limiting the amount of usable moisture, and thus, mainly just a few flurries/mix. We will continue to monitor as we get closer, but for now, little to no valley accumulations are expected. The plateau will have a better chance, but it is too early to give ranges. That will wrap it up for today...enjoy the return of sunshine (for those not having any yet) over the next few hours and warming temperatures through mid week. Don't forget to check out our video forecast below as well. Pre-recorded for 5pm weather broadcast
Dry with normal highs today (upper 40s), before a slow moving disturbance brings rain chances Saturday and Sunday. We briefly dry back out early next week (Monday and first half of the day Tuesday), before shower chances return towards mid week. Temperatures throughout will generally stay just above the norm in the lower 50s. Check out more below and visit our "5-Day Forecast" tab for more details. Pre-recorded for 5pm weather broadcast
Mostly clear as depicted from satellite below to start the day, with temperatures in the upper 30s and low 40s. This will translate to mostly sunny skies into the day with a few afternoon clouds leading to partly cloudy for some. Overall, it should be pleasant with highs just above average in the low to mid 50s. Moving forward, similar conditions are on tap for tomorrow, but just a touch cooler (upper 40s). This will be on par with averages for this time of the year, so though it may feel cool, it is normal. Cloud cover will increase the later half of the day Friday, as an area of low pressure develops to our west. The good news is showers should hold off until the weekend, with chances increasing through Saturday. The bulk of activity comes later in the day Saturday and into Sunday, where up to a quarter of an inch is possible for some. By early next week, high pressure returns drying things off Monday and portions of Tuesday, with highs remaining in the 50s. That will wrap it up for today, other than cooler and closer to average temperatures, things should be pleasant today and tomorrow. Enjoy! Pre-recorded for 5pm weather broadcast
Temperatures pre-set to 5pm conditions
The threat for today remains the flash flooding risk. A few isolated strong to severe storms can't be entirely ruled out, but chances are low and mainly breezy conditions are expected within thunderstorms. That said, heavy rainfall is also likely within storms, resulting in the Weather Prediction Center to highlight a slight risk for portions of the area. Those in common flooding points, low lying areas, etc. come up with a plan now. Rain rates could be an inch or more per hour at times and any repeated activity could lead to issues. As for the break down, showers/storms will arrive early to mid afternoon and continue into the overnight. It will generally have two rounds to it, one this afternoon and then another tomorrow morning. The first will bring the chance for both strong storms and flash flooding, while the second is primarily flash flooding potential. Rainfall amounts will vary from 1-2" area-wide, with locally higher amounts in thunderstorms/repeated activity. The last of showers should begin shifting out from west to east midmorning Wednesday, with all drying out by mid afternoon tomorrow. Drier and cooler air will then follow, where seasonal highs finish out the work week and into the early weekend. Another low-end shot at showers also arrives Saturday and Sunday. Stay abreast to any warnings that could be issued later today. We will pass those alerts on via Twitter/Facebook is warnings are issued, but prepare now if in typical flood/flash flood locations. Have a good one, stay safe, and dry. We welcome your reports and pictures as well, which can be shared under "News & More" -> "Submissions." Pre-recorded for 5pm weather broadcast
|
Your trusted source for everything weather in East Tennessee.
Social Media
|
Proudly powered by Weebly